COLLOQUIUM
DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS
OAKLAND UNIVERSITY
ROCHESTER, MICHIGAN 48309
Jim Albert
Bowling Green State University
Looking at Spacings to Assess Streakiness
Abstract
There is much interest in studying the hot hand behavior of individuals
and teams in sports. We collect success/failure data for each of the hitters in a particular
baseball season. We develop a Bayes factor statistic on the spacings to
see if players are truly streaky. By looking at the ensemble of test
statistics over all players, we see if the pattern of streakiness is more than
one would predict from a consistent hitting model. We see that the
pattern of streakiness depends on how one defines a success in a plate
appearance.
Thursday, October 28, 2010
2:30 – 3:30 P.M.
372 Science and Engineering Building
(Refreshments at 2:00-2:30 PM in the kitchen area adjacent to 368 SEB)